Showing posts with label Presidential campaign. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Presidential campaign. Show all posts

Friday, October 30, 2020

Election Issues 2020: Climate Change


 


As election day draws near I have been wondering why some very, very rich people are not only supporting Democratic candidate Joe Biden but contributing record amounts of money to his campaign. After all, he is threatening to raise taxes especially on those making over $400000 per year.

 

Could there be more to his appeal than meets the eye? Billionaires like Warren Buffett and Bill Gates did` not become rich by neglecting to get good returns on their investments or their political contributions. Billionaire Michael Bloomburg, the former mayor of New York City, is investing millions to help Biden carry the pivotal state of Florida. Is it just hatred of President Trump? 

 

As the old saying goes. “Follow the Money.” Could it be that these very rich Democrats see an opportunity to profit even more by supporting Progressive causes? After all, if you can substantially increase your assets by gaining access to government stimulus money, why not pay a little more in Federal income taxes?

 

Michael Schellenberger, a committed environmentalist, describes how billionaires have profited from climate change activism in his new book, Apocalypse Never.  Subtitled, “Why Environmental Alarmism Hurts Us All,” the book offers a balanced assessment on climate change and how to deal with it. However, he also details how well connected politicians and venture capitalists have profited from government environmental spending.  

 

He quotes John Doerr, a venture capitalist, who found an upside in climate change.“Green technology—going green—is bigger than the Internet,” Doerr said. “It could be the biggest economic opportunity of the twenty-first century.”

 

During the administration of President Obama, Shellenberger admits that he was involved in an environmental program that could be regarded as a forerunner of the Green New Deal. But things did not work out as he expected. He writes:

 

Between 2009 and 2015, the U.S. government spent about $150 billion on our Green New Deal, $90 billion of it in stimulus money.

 

Stimulus money wasn’t evenly distributed but rather clustered around donors to President Obama and the Democratic Party. At least ten members of Obama’s finance committee and more than twelve of his fundraising bundlers, who raised a minimum of $100,000 for Obamo, benefitted from $16.4 of the $20.5 billion in stimulus loans.

 

Fisker, which produced some of the world’s first luxury hybrid vehicles, received $529 million in federal loans; Doerr was one of Fisker’s major investors. It eventually went bankrupt, costing taxpayers 132 million. … (217-218)

 

But the loans were just one program among many others that funneled money to well-connected Obama donors without creating many jobs. The most famous of the green investments was when DOE gave $575 million to a solar company called Solyndra, 35 percent of which was owned by a billionaire donor and fundraising bundler for Obama, George Kaiser.

 

Nobody wanted to invest in Solyndra because its panels were too expensive, which independently minded DOE staffers pointed out. They were overruled, however, and the loan was approved.

 

The people who benefitted most from the green stimulus were billionaires, including Musk, Doerr, Kaiser, Khosla, Ted Turner, Pat Stryker, and Paul Tudor Jones. Vinod Khosla led Obama’s “India Policy team” during the 2008 election and was a major financial contributor to Democrats. His companies received more than $399 million.

 

However, few Democratic Party donors outperformed Doerr when it came to receiving federal stimulus loans. More than half of the companies in his Genentech portfolio… received loans or outright grants from the government. “Considering that the acceptance rate in most of the Department of Energy programs was often 10 percent or less, this is a stunning record,” wrote an investigative reporter. (218)

 

Shellenberger’s research led him to conclude that nuclear power is the answer not only to creating a cleaner environment but also to providing for the world’s expanding energy needs. But he documents the efforts of pseudo-scientific activists and self- interested politicians like former Governor Jerry Brown of California to shut down nuclear power in California. Brown and his family were heavily invested in fossil fuels like oil and natural gas.

 

Apocalypse Never does offer solutions to serious environmental problems but it is also a sad story when it details how many have profited by alarming people all over the globe. He cites his own example as typical of many:

 

I was drawn toward the apocalyptic view of climate change twenty years ago. I can see now that my heightened anxiety about climate change reflected underlying anxiety and unhappiness in my own life that had little to do with climate change or the state of the environment.

 

Nothing is sadder that the plight of now-famous teenager Greta Thunberg who, like many other children, has been traumatized by climate alarmists. She claims that her childhood was taken from her by these fears, and truly believes that the human race will be extinct in 15 years. Who taught her that?

 

In Apocalypse Never Michael Shellenberger concludes that there is much more reason for optimism than pessimism. 

 

Conventional air pollution peaked fifty years ago in developed nations and carbon emissions have peaked or will soon peak in most others.

 

The amount of land we use for meat production is declining. Forests are growing back and wildlife is returning.

 

There is no reason poor nations can’t develop and adapt to climate change. Deaths from extreme events should keep declining….

 

None of this means there isn’t work to do. There is plenty. But much if not most of it has to do with accelerating those existing, positive trends, not trying to reverse them in a bid to return to low-energy agrarian societies.

 

The people who use the threat of climate change to make fortunes or gain votes should be ashamed of themselves. 

 

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Tuesday, October 27, 2020

Debate Debacle 2020

  

      

In their second and final debate I gave President Trump a “B+” and Democratic challenger Joe Biden a “D”. I think it was obvious to all that the President won the debate. Even left leaning commentators could find little to blame in his performance. One commentator even said it was the President’s best ever debate performance. Using sports talk, the President was always playing offense while challenger Joe Biden was playing defense. Whether in sports or in politics you will lose if you are always playing defense.



I gave Biden a “D” not because of his politics or policy plans but because of what he did not say or do. Not only was he unable to mount an offense, his defense was weak. At one point in the debate the question had turned to China. Nevertheless, Biden turned to face the camera and the viewing audience and launched into an obviously prepared set piece about ordinary people sitting around their kitchen tables. 

 

The President immediately caught him up and said something like, “What happened to China? How did we get to the kitchen table.?” Then came the stunning and devastating blow: 

 

“You’re just a politician.”

 

It was even more stunning because the President uttered it calmly and matter of factly. He did not raise his voice, there was no malice and maybe even a hint of sadness. “You’re a politician.” It was a slap in the face and Biden just took it.

 

When the discussion turned to the enrichment of the Biden family by deals in the Ukraine and China, the President calmly called Biden a “crooked politician,” and again there was no response. Biden just took it. 

 

Later, the President doubled down. In response to Biden’s repeated claims that there were many things wrong in America and that he had “plans” to fix them, the President said, “Joe, you had eight years to fix them. You did nothing.” And then came the crusher: “Joe, you are the reason I ran four years ago. If you hadn’t done such a bad job, I would never have run for the Presidency.”

 

Slap, slap, slap. Incredibly Biden did not respond. He just stood there and took this damning indictment. He could only bring himself to mutter something like, “I was only Vice-President.” In effect, he threw his old boss, former President Obama, under the bus.  

 

I would have given the President an “A” except for the fact that he failed to capitalize on a great opportunity at the end.

 

For her last question Kristen Welker, the moderator lobbed this softball at both candidates. I paraphrase but she asked, “Assuming you won the election, what would you say in your inaugural address to those who had voted against you?”  It seemed to me that both gave a stock answer and that the President settled for a single when he could have hit the ball out of the park.

 

He should have been prepared to say, when given such an opportunity, “I know that many of you who voted against me do not like me. Many even hate me. I know that you will not believe anything I say. But I am reminded of the conman’s attempt to trick his victim: ‘Who ae you gonna believe, me or your own two eyes?’ I will not ask you to believe me, but in the next four years I will ask you to use your own two eyes in looking at the actual work of my administration.

 

Just look through your own eyes and not through the eyes of the media which no longer brings you straight, unfiltered, no-spin news. Use your own eyes to see how you, your family, your neighbors, and your community are doing.  Are your own sons and daughters fighting in endless foreign wars, or are they coming home at last? Is a vaccine available to all for the coronavirus? Is the air and water in your community clean and healthy? Are your childrens' schools open and safe? Are you financially more secure? How is your 401k and IRA doing? Has your home increased in value? 

 

Is the America that you see every day as bad as my opponents claim? Most of you live in communities that are the envy of the world. That is why so many people want to come here. Etc. etc.

 

I watched the debate until the end when the candidates’ wives joined their husbands on stage. It was really sad to see Joe Biden’s wife join her 78-year-old husband after this long ordeal. What could she have been thinking?

 

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Monday, November 7, 2016

Presidential Campaign Wrap-Up

As the Presidential campaign nears its close the race seems to be getting tighter and tighter. Early in the race Hillary Clinton remarked that she should be leading by fifty points. Now Democrat politicians and pundits are acting as if they are in panic mode.

Democrat big guns including President Obama, Michelle Obama, Vice- President Biden, Senators Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren, and even ex-President Bill Clinton are traveling all over the country to drum up votes for Hillary even though privately none of them can stand her.

The left-wing media is acting as if every word counts. My Yahoo home page is full of headlines claiming that Trump is failing and Clinton is winning.
11/4/16: Will Melania’s Leaked Photos Damage…
11/4/16: LA Times Tracking Poll: Trump’s Lead Shrinks to 4…
11/4/16: Former Trump Supporter Looks Back with Regret…
11/4/16: Bernie Sanders Goes ‘All-in’ for Hillary…
11/5/16: Melania worked in U.S. Without Permission…
On Friday night CNN panelists tried to explain away declining African-American votes in the early balloting by bringing up the bogeyman of voter suppression. It was as if they were preparing to claim that the election was “rigged’ against Clinton.

It is instructive to watch these CNN panel performances. It is hard to call them discussions because the panelists are all party stalwarts with little trace of being impartial reporters of the news. All we get is the official party line. For over a year now they have been acting as if every one of the millions of words they have uttered is so important.

Nevertheless, I think that most voters will not be influenced by the avalanche of words coming from cable news. Nor do I think that they will be influenced by political or media endorsements. Last week my wife noted that this year’s Presidential election is not so much about Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton but about what voters think will happen in the next four years. Will we have a continuation of the policies of the Obama Administration, or will we see something new?

Obamacare, the signature issue of President Obama, is repealing itself. It is imploding right in front of our eyes with double digit premium increases and huge deductibles on the handful of policies available to consumers. The so-called Affordable Care Act was supposed to provide coverage for 30 Million uninsured, but a recent statistic indicated that only 11 Million have been covered. It would seem that more people have lost coverage than have gained it. What kind of insurance is it if the deductible is $16000?

Overseas, the world is in a mess that has often been exacerbated by the policies of President Obama and his one-time Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. Attempts to aid and arm rebels in the Middle East have proved disastrous. We intervened in Egypt to overthrow a dictator but brought the Moslem Brotherhood into power. Now they are ruled by a military dictatorship. Our intervention in Libya produced even worse results. The assault on the American embassy in Benghazi and the murder of the American ambassador were just the tip of the iceberg there.

Syria is probably the worst example of failed American intervention in support of rebels. Donald Trump was right when, during one of the debates, he remarked to Hillary Clinton that she doesn’t even know who the rebels are that she is supporting. We have to take a good part of the blame for what happened in Aleppo. Moreover, Clinton’s support of a no-fly zone in Syria is inviting an incident with Russia that could have even worse consequences.

Speaking of Russia, at one point during the campaign the candidates were asked what they considered to be the most serious problem facing the world today. Clinton thought it was “climate change,” but Trump believed it was the threat of nuclear war. Democrats claim that Trump cannot be trusted with the country’s nuclear arsenal but in eight years the Obama administration has not been able to prevent North Korea from developing nuclear weapons and the means to deliver them. At the same time, we have no way of knowing if the costly deal with Iran will work.

Finally, are race relations in this country any better than they were when President Obama took office?  He was the son of a black father and a white mother, and his overwhelming victory in 2008 gave him a unique opportunity to usher in a new era of racial harmony in this country. Instead, he has politicized the Justice Department and the Attorney General’s office to the point where it would now be better called the Department of Injustice. Hillary Clinton has offered no solution other than to double down on the President’s misguided efforts.

This summer Donald Trump appeared to an enthusiastic crowd that filled the Sacred Heart University gym in Connecticut to overflowing despite record heat. At about the same time, Hillary Clinton spoke at a private $40000 per plate fundraiser in Greenwich. His speech appeared on television. Her remarks to the multi-millionaire donors were private, but we know from other such meetings that she believes that private truth is not always the same as public truth.

This election is about more than Trump and Clinton. It’s about who and what they represent. Trump may be a rotten s.o.b. but I tend to stand with the people in that sweltering gym rather than with those at the private $40000 per plate dinner.


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Note: Here is the latest Electoral College Map from Real Clear Politics. Blue States are for Clinton, Red for Trump, and Grey are toss-ups. I don't like to make predictions but I believe that Arizona and Nevada will go for Trump, and Colorado and New Mexico for Clinton in the West. In the South I believe that Georgia and North Carolina will go for Trump, and Virginia for Clinton. In the Mid-West I believe that Iowa and the key state of Ohio will go for Trump but that Michigan will go for Clinton. The race will then come down to Pennsylvania and Florida. If Trump wins Florida and loses Pennsylvania, he could still eke out a victory by winning New Hampshire and one of the Maine electoral districts.

Monday, October 31, 2016

Presidential Polls 2016



                                          

For some reason I have been following the various Presidential polls for the past few months and would like to give a little report on the week before election day. It is hard to know what to make of the polls since they give such varying results and there is always the suspicion of bias or spin.
I good sampling of the latest polls can be found every day at the “Real Clear Politics” site. There you will find the results of six or seven national polls; the results of polls in so-called “toss up” or “battleground states like Florida and Ohio; and you will also be able to create your own hypothetical electoral college map.

Over the past months most of the polls have shown Democrat Hillary Clinton with a substantial lead, but lately the race tightened up even before the Director of the FBI announced that he would re-open the Clinton email investigation. Last week the respected IBD/TIPP poll showed Republican Donald Trump pulling ahead slightly but this week it shows Clinton up 45-43.    
On the other hand, the tracking poll conducted by the LA Times and the University of Southern California has always been an outlier. Its methodology is admittedly unique and it has consistently shown Trump to be doing better than other more well-known polls. It’s Oct. 30 results gave Trump his greatest margin so far, 47% to 43%. That results contrasts with the latest CNN poll that had Clinton still up by five points.

Some of the most interesting poll data has been provided by Remington Research in its individual state surveys. In its Oct 30 Florida poll it shows Trump up by four points in that key state. However, it also provides surprising demographic data. Although 19% of Republican voters say they will vote for Clinton, 21% of Democrat voters say they will vote for Trump. Independents will break 49 to 36 for Trump.

Even more surprising in Florida is that only 49% of women plan to vote for Clinton while 44% say they support Trump. Equally surprising is the evidence that 22% of African-Americans and 42% of Hispanics indicate that they will vote for Trump. It stands to reason that Clinton would not enjoy the same overwhelming advantage among Black voters as President Obama did. Also, all Hispanics are not the same. Perhaps Cubans share Trump’s antipathy to Mexicans.

In Ohio, another key state that Trump must win, the Remington poll, dated Oct. 30, has Trump up by five points, 48-43. Ohio is very different than Florida but the demographics there are similar. It appears that Clinton will get 15% of the Republican vote in Ohio but that Trump will get 18% of the Democrat vote. As in Florida independents break heavily for Trump, 48% to 37%. In Ohio, Clinton only leads among women by 48% to 44%. The Remington poll shows that Trump should get about 19% of the African-American vote in Ohio, not much less than in Florida. Trump will only get about 27% of the Hispanic vote but Hispanics only make up 4% of the voters there.

Although Clinton’s lead among women is not as great as you would imagine, women now make up more than 50% of the people who actually vote.  The polls indicate that Trump’s support is strongest among white middle-aged men. It would not hurt him in Ohio to point out that Clinton is a longtime Chicago Cub fan. It would not surprise me to see Trump ads during NFL games this weekend. It would also be to Trump’s advantage to buy a half hour on national TV and give a full presentation of his views without media interruption.

Michael Moore, a longtime advocate of left wing causes, thinks that polls can't be trusted and that Trump will win next week. In this brief video he makes his case. Click on the link or see below.





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