Friday, October 23, 2020

Election Issues 2020: Coronavirus


 

In recent debates Democratic candidates Joseph Biden and Kamala Harris have made the coronavirus the number one issue in their campaign. They have accused President Trump of being responsible for the 225000 deaths attributable to the coronavirus in this nation. It is clear that millions of ordinary people share this view but what is the scientific evidence for this accusation?

 

Those who hold the President responsible should at least answer some simple questions. First, what explains the different results in the various states? In my home state of Connecticut over 2,000,000 tests have been administered and 64000 people have tested positive. So far 4554 deaths have been attributed to the coronavirus. In Kansas, half way across the country, there have been 74000 positive cases but only 872 have died. Connecticut has 1277 deaths per million, and Kansas only 299 per million. Is there a scientific answer?

 

Similarly, New Jersey and Arizona have had about the same number of positive cases, but New Jersey has had three times as many deaths (16339) as Arizona (5830). New Jersey leads the nation with deaths per million at 1840, while Arizona’s is 801 per million. What can explain this difference? Is it politics or science?

 

What can explain the fact that deaths in New York (33497), New Jersey (16339), and Connecticut (4554) match the totals in California (17001), Texas (17599), and Florida (16025), the three most populous state in the country? Democrats certainly do not blame the ineptitude of governors in those blue states.

 

How can President Trump be blamed for results so disparate? How can a national action or inaction produce such different results? Did the Trump administration somehow manage to do better in some states than others?  If it’s not politics, maybe there is a scientific explanation.

 

The coronavirus recognizes neither state lines nor borders. So far over 8 Million people have tested positive but only 225289 of those infected have died. In other words, about 3% of those who tested positive have died. But wait a minute! Scientists have insisted from the beginning that the actual cases must far exceed the number of confirmed cases. Lately, they have been multiplying the actual cases by ten which means that they believe that about 80 Million people in the USA have been infected with the dreaded disease.  Obviously, since only 225289 have died, almost 80,000,000 have survived. Should President Trump be given credit for that? 

 

Great Britain and Italy, countries with nationalized health systems, and with only a fifth of the population of the USA, have done much worse than the USA. In those countries over 12 percent of those who have tested positive have died. if we had the same fatality rate as those two countries, we would have had over 800000 deaths by now. 

 

Finally, about 85 percent of those who have died in the USA have been over age 75. Most of them had what are called co-morbidities, other health conditions that weakened their immune systems. Many of those seniors were in nursing homes. Studies have shown that for one reason or another the immune systems of these Seniors was compromised. Most actually died from an over-reaction of the immune system that led to pneumonia. Is it scientific to say that President Trump’s policies caused Seniors to die while sparing children? Was it President Trump’s order that sent infected seniors back to nursing homes in New York?

 

Blaming President Trump for 225000 deaths is not only unscientific, but also dishonest and downright despicable. Many people cannot bring themselves to like or vote for the President for things he has said, but nothing he has said has ever been worse than the charge that he is personally responsible for the deaths of over 225000 people during the pandemic. 

 

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