So far, the run up to the November
2016 Presidential election indicates that the messenger is more important than
the message. It seems to me that no one can possibly pay attention to the words
and promises spewing from the mouths of the various candidates, especially
their interminable post-primary speeches. It is not what they say but how they
appear to the American people that will make or break them.
Here is the way they appear to me,
and, I suspect, to a lot of others. I will admit that I initially supported Jeb
Bush and felt that a Bush/Kasich ticket would be very electable in November. To
win in November the Republicans must carry the key pivotal states of Florida
and Ohio.
Donald Trump comes across as someone
who is willing and anxious to kick butt both at home and abroad. He appears to
be a nasty, mean type of boss who will take no excuses and tolerate no fools.
This does not necessarily make him unqualified to be President. In fact, I
think that those qualities are required in a President. After all, Trump is
running for Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of the United States. Those who call
him unqualified mean that he has never held elective office before, but no one
can deny that he has the experience and knowledge required of a CEO.
On the other hand, Dr. Ben Carson,
who finally dropped out of the race after Super Tuesday, came across as too
nice a guy to be President. His message was appealing but no one cared since he
was too quiet and self-effacing. He was just what you would want in a family
doctor but you would never choose him to represent you in a bitter divorce
case. Although he had a brilliant career as a brain surgeon, he should have had
his own head examined, especially as his numbers started to drop.
Senator Ted Cruz reminds me of a
sleazy televangelist trying to drum up donations from little old ladies. Why
would an inexperienced first-term senator think to even run for the Presidency
before establishing himself as a Senate leader? Again, his ideas and principles
might be good but a majority of the people in the country will never vote for
someone who seems so self-centered and uncompromising. His tedious and long-winded
post primary speeches make one question his sanity. Finally, his unwillingness
or inability to cut a deal with other candidates has left the way open for
Trump.
Senator Marco Rubio is a young
Senator who could be a great Senator but he seems too young and immature for
the Presidency. He is 44 but looks younger. People will say that Jack Kennedy
was only 44 when he became President, but Rubio is no Jack Kennedy. It is true
that President Obama was as young and inexperienced in government or leadership
when he ran for President, but that just proves my point. In most of the
primaries the Rubio/Cruz vote totals have equaled or surpassed Trump’s, but so
far neither one has had the political practicality to combine forces.
Governor John Kasich of Ohio looks
and acts Presidential. The large field of Republican candidates had kept his numbers
down but if he wins the Ohio and Michigan primaries, his star will rise. As
mentioned above a Republican candidate must win the key pivotal states of Ohio
and Florida.
Speaking about Florida, Jeb Bush came
across as one of the least charismatic candidates in recent history. His
failure proves my point about messenger and message. He had the best ideas and
plans but no one could get past his name and dull manner. Taking off his
glasses, removing his jacket and tie, and rolling up his sleeves made him
appear wimpier and wimpier. Enlisting the aid of his brother and elderly mother
in the South Carolina was the last straw.
The Bush campaign was another good
example of how money does not always talk in politics. The millions he wasted
could have been better employed in bribing Cruz and Rubio to drop out of the
race.
Finally, I am amazed at how
commentators think there is a Trump bandwagon when it is obvious that two
thirds of Republican primary voters cast their ballot against him. It is
obvious that Trump has a strong core of support but he has never had to run one-
on one in any contest.
Some pundits think that the bitter
Republican primary campaign has been a bad thing for the party but I think that
it will turn out to be positive. At the outset, the Republicans put up a field
of at least a dozen viable candidates, each of who had good credentials. The youth
and energy of the Republican candidates stands in marked contrast to the aged
Democrat contenders. Even when Democrats sought an alternative to Hillary
Clinton or Bernie Sanders, they could only come up with old Joe Biden.
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Claire from Connecticut comments:
ReplyDeleteGood analysis. Only one point of disagreement--I think Rubio is a better candidate than Cruz. I think he has more political savvy than Cruz and is the only one the bulk of Republicans could rally behind. What do you think of Romney's blast? I do not think that it has been helpful