Last week Donald Trump swept five
Republican primaries in the Northeast, including my home state of Connecticut,
to get even closer to locking up the Republican nomination for President. His
victories were impressive since he won substantial majorities and not just
pluralities. More than the size of the victories I was impressed by Trump’s
performance after the election results came in.
My wife and I watched the primary
reporting that night and the post election speeches by the victorious
candidates from both parties. Hillary Clinton, who won four of the five
Democrat primaries, was featured at 9:00 pm, and then Trump followed at 10:00.
Never mind the content, the difference between the two appearances was
striking. Clinton gave her familiar stump speech that only a masochist or
fanatical party loyalist could listen to for more than a minute.
On the other hand, Trump made a
few remarks but then turned his appearance into a press conference where he
fielded questions from reporters on the spot. He did an impressive job of
answering these questions and driving home his points without rehearsal or
assistance from teleprompters. He seemed in command, one of the qualities one
would like to see in a President. It was in marked contrast to Clinton’s banal
verbiage, and I wonder if one of the networks took the trouble to have people
in a “focus group” give their impressions of the two performances.
I didn’t vote for Trump in the CT
primary but I have to admit that I thought he made some very good points in his answers. In
the first place, when asked what he thought was the greatest problem facing
America, he quickly replied that nuclear armaments and the threat of their
proliferation in rogue states like Iran and North Korea constituted the gravest
threat to America today. In doing so, he contrasted himself with President
Obama who believes that “climate change” is the Nation’s greatest problem.
Secondly, Trump called for new
approaches in foreign policy. He appears to believe that it would be better to
work with Russia than to continue to regard it and Vladimir Putin as enemies.
He thought that NATO might be an obsolete relic of the Cold War and that if
European nations did not want to make their agreed upon contributions to their
own defense, then the USA should reconsider its role in Europe. Russia and the
USA have a common enemy in Islamic radicalism and yet NATO is building up its
forces in Eastern Europe causing incidents like the recent one between an
American destroyer and a Russian jet fighter in the Baltic Sea.
Trump still wants to build a wall
between the USA and Mexico but now supports “legal” immigration. I think the
Wall will turn out to be a useless public works project but if he is elected
President, he may discover that it would be better to change the laws on
immigration than to enforce those made in the 1920s to keep Catholic immigrants
out of the country.
In domestic affairs I liked his expressed intention to
dismantle the Federal Department of Education and restore control over education
to the fifty states. I also liked his intention to reform Obamacare and correct
its abuses. What conservative would disagree with those positions?
I also liked his willingness to
confront “political correctness” when it comes to calling our Hillary Clinton
for continually playing the “gender” card. Commentators demand that Trump act
Presidential, but how is Clinton Presidential when she seems to represent not
all the people of America but only favored groups like women, blacks, and
Hispanics?
Finally, I believe that Trump is
correct when he discounts national polls that give him high negative ratings
and show him trailing Clinton in a head to head contest. National ratings can
turn on the proverbial dime. I recall that after the first debate between
President Obama and Mitt Romney in 2012, Romney jumped ahead of Obama because
of his debate performance, but then faltered after a lackluster performance in
subsequent debates. Trump has proved to be a much more powerful debater than more experienced politicians.
I believe that Trump is
the only Republican candidate who could possibly win in the November election.
It is not the national vote that counts in November but the votes in each
state. In November, the Republican candidate must carry Ohio, Florida, and
Virginia along with the traditional red states to have any chance of victory.
Trump has a good chance in all three states. Actually, his celebrity status
could even put New York, Pennsylvania, and even California in play. It will be
interesting to see how he does in the California primary.
Only Trump has the potential to
create a broad based campaign. Conservatives might not like him but would they
rather have him or Hillary Clinton making the next Supreme Court appointment? On
the other side of the political spectrum, I believe that Trump also has the
ability to attract supporters of Bernie Sanders. In the Connecticut primary,
for example, Clinton eked out a victory only with the help of the urban
Democrat political machines in cities like Hartford, Bridgeport, and Stamford. The
more conservative remainder of the State went for Sanders. It is easy to
imagine that a good percentage of those voters might prefer Trump to Clinton.
Stranger things have happened in politics.
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