The other day a friend asked me
who I thought would win the upcoming Presidential election. He was shocked when
I replied that I thought that Mitt Romney would win in a landslide. My guess
was based on my gut feeling as well as on a recent poll in Connecticut, a
traditional very blue state. The poll showed that President Obama had only an
eight-percentage point lead in a state he carried by twenty-three percentage
points in 2008. If Obama’s showing is so poor in usually reliable Connecticut,
how will he win in the toss up states so vital to victory in November?
I believe that the poll numbers
are not only a recognition of Obama’s record but also an indication that the
Republicans now have an extremely attractive candidate whose apparent negatives
will be perceived by most people as positives.
The 2008 election showed that
American politics have entered the age of American Idol. Incredibly in the
Democratic primaries a totally inexperienced but extremely attractive candidate
triumphed over Hillary Clinton and the established leaders of the Democrat
party. In the ensuing election Barack Obama easily overwhelmed an aging John
McCain.
However, in Mitt Romney the
Republicans have found an attractive candidate of their own to put up against a
floundering Administration that seems totally unable to understand or deal with
the country’s economic woes. I must admit that I am a political conservative
and that I do like Mitt Romney but here are a list of qualities that I think
any observer would agree with.
1. Romney has an attractive
appearance. He appears youthful and energetic both in person and on TV. His
wife and family are equally attractive. Again, in the age of American Idol this
quality cannot be underestimated. Obama has no advantage here.
2. At the same time Romney appears
to be intelligent, experienced, and quite capable of handling the demands of
the Presidency. It would appear that he has been successful in practically
everything he has set his hand to. Never mind the Olympics, he managed to get
elected as a Republican governor of one of the bluest states in the country.
Even the critics of his career at Bain Capitol would have to admit that he was
successful there.
3. No one can doubt that he showed
great skill he winning one of the most grueling primary campaigns in memory.
Those who question his campaign strategy and tactics should give him credit for
knowing what he is doing. He is no dope. His selection of Paul Ryan as running
mate was a masterstroke. Despite their immediate criticism of Ryan, some
Democrats are so concerned that I believe there will be an attempt to replace
bumbling Vice-President Biden with Hillary Clinton. Moreover, the Romney
campaign is and will be extremely well funded unlike the McCain disaster. Obama
will not have the overwhelming financial advantage he had in 2008.
4. Speaking of money Romney is wealthy and makes no bones
about it. Independent voters are wise enough to understand that a rich person
has a great incentive to protect the rights of private property so basic to our
country’s health and freedom. They also know that many Democrat politicians are equally wealthy. If the election is about class warfare and
divisiveness, the Democrats will lose.
5. I don’t think his religion will
be a factor. I know very little about the beliefs of Mormons, but I once
overheard a man say that he never met a Mormon he didn’t like. He seems to be a
devoted family man. Again, Obama has no advantage here.
I like to comment on what’s going
on and don’t usually like to make predictions but I will go out on a limb here.
Barring some unforeseen circumstance, I believe that Mitt Romney will win in a
landslide big enough to give him a mandate to get the country moving again in
the right direction. ###
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